Since the American-Israeli strikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, global oil markets have experienced shocks of unusually violent magnitude.
The Brent crude price peaked at $112 per barrel on March 27, 2026, representing a 14% rise in two days, while the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a third of the world’s maritime crude exports pass, saw tanker traffic temporarily disrupted.
For Tunisia, a country that imports 65% of its energy needs and that recorded an energy deficit exceeding 11 billion dinars in 2025, this geopolitical shock is not a distant event: it is a brutal revelation of the structural fragility of its supply model.
In this context, accelerating the transition to renewable energies is no longer merely a climate ambition; it is a matter of national security.
A Costly Dependency
The Tunisian energy landscape is striking. According to the Ministry of Industry, Mines and Energy, the country’s energy independence rate stood at only 35% in 2025. Electricity production relies on natural gas and fossil fuels for more than 90%, while the share of renewable energy sources caps at around 6% of the national electricity mix.
