“The Tunisian government has proposed an oil price assumption of $80 per barrel in the 2027 budget proposal.” This was stated by the Minister of Economy and Planning during a meeting held on Wednesday, October 28, by the Finance and Budget Committee of the Assembly of the Representatives of the People (ARP).
Regarding the growth assumptions and economic indicators, the minister indicated that the growth forecasts for 2026 have been revised downward, from 3.3% to 2.7%, while the growth target for 2027 is set at 3.1%.
The share of investment in gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to rise from 15.5% to 16.4%, while foreign direct investment (FDI) should reach 4.8 billion dinars, up from 4 billion dinars in 2026.
Moreover, exports of goods and services are expected to increase by 8%, while the inflation rate is projected to fall to 5.2% and the unemployment rate to 14.5%.
These forecasts are based notably on an improvement in external demand, an increase in phosphate and hydrocarbons production, as well as on the objective of hosting 11.5 million tourists.
The minister also stressed the need to stimulate investment, improve the business climate and the competitiveness of companies, accelerate the implementation of major projects, and support growing sectors.
He also emphasized the importance of addressing structural imbalances, accelerating energy and water transitions, and controlling inflation as well as the current account deficit, in order to strengthen the resilience of the national economy.
Finally, the minister presented the main axes of development policies for 2027. These include, in particular, promoting equitable social development, strengthening balanced regional development, and modernizing the economic fabric and infrastructure.
These guidelines also aim to strengthen food, water, energy, and environmental security, while modernizing the institutional framework and improving the efficiency of public services.
